Just my opinion, as I certainly don't have a dog in this fight.. But, I think you could chase around the perfect scenario for forever.. Tags are so limited in the units that you are considering, and it only takes one good buck to make the hunt..
Take this year for example, the vast majority of the country was (is) in a severe drought, yet some mighty fine animals hit the dirt all across the country.
Again, just my opinion, as I'm not the guy who has diligently built the points to hunt those units. I'd personally be more afraid of the AZGF drastically changing tag quotas, or selling off to SFW than I would about 10 more fawns per 100 being born.