The bottom line is if you want to hunt, you have to apply. That is the reality today. Maybe you can draw a random tag or maybe you will eventually draw on points. If you don't apply, you can't draw. Idaho has pretty good odds because they make you choose one species. Don't make the mistake of thinking you haven't got a chance, so why spend the money. There is always a chance, and part of the fun is being in the game. A lot of the people ahead of you will draw, quit or die. You don't have to wait until they all draw to get a chance. Best of luck.